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Amir
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and BalintVery good points and I agree that scioety needs fundamentally manufacutring to sustatin itself: particularly if its a large nation, it should be able to at least survive in an semi-autarky condition by farming its own food and making its own cars.The interview between Fukuyama and Peter Thiel on this website about captures my vision of where mankind is at presently and will be headed.The main point I differ on is that of symbol manipulators . I personally believe that as long as its cheaper to buy robots and feed them with electricity than to feed humans and put up with all of their whimsical nonsense, virtually all non-creative professions (and non service professions since some humans will always want to buy from a store clerk instead of a vending machine and etc.) will be displaced in a free market economy. This means that at a minimum, the lowest level skilled workers will need to know how to operate machinery. For example, amazon currently has an army of people stuffing boxes, however they want to automate the process. In the future, the lowest levels at Amazon will probably be the people assisting the engineers with calibrating and programming these automations, a skill already in high demand but which unfortunately very few Americans have. Until robots can fully maintain themselves (we’re still a ways away from this), these people will be needed in the economy, but even so what will happen to the rest of the boxers? Afterall, there is not way that automation will require the same amount of maintenance workers as current boxers. One route would be for leisure time for humans will increase as machine do more of our production relating to subsistence and there will be maximum work hours (like france, but implemented globally), but I’mt afraid this route may potentially cause economic stagnation and lack of innovation. Another route I believe, would be that the healthcare and entertainment sectors would see a giant boost. As our cost of production to sustain ourselves diminishes to close to zero, people will be wanting to maximize both the length of their lives and the quantity of their lives and demand for these sectors increases much more relative to the others. Unfortunately, technology is already displacing many people in these industries as well. Or a third more preferred route would be for everyone to mass educate and all become scientists sponsored by the state, we can work towards cracking the laws of physics and discovering the means to provide a close to 100% renewable and sustainable energy source, colonize the galaxy for resources, and etc to sustain our human scioety. But despite our manificent advances in literacy and basic education in the past 50 years globally, I doubt enough humans will be ready for this type of work during the painful transitional period we will likely face as automation displaces most non-creative professions. At the very least, I doubt machines are anywhere close to substituting human companionship so maybe people will work as geishas for the patrician class of engineers…Although I disagree with its conclusion, I highly recommend the Kurt Vonnagut novel “Player Piano”. It essentially portrays a benign “big blue” type governments attempts at making sure all the displaced workers have enough to eat and are content with their lives. At the same time, the semi skilled workers (secretaries, middle managers, entry level lawyers etc.) are now being displaced due to the 2nd wave of automation from IT advances. He wrote this novel decades ago but I feel its very applicable to our current situation.

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